Paper experiment · Public record · Day 5
Day 5: the QQQ 725 Call
Wed 28 Oct 2026. One 0DTE QQQ options suggestion, stated before the 06:30 PT open and graded the same afternoon under the frozen rules.
Result: LOSS. Expiry return -82.7% against Entry, the contract’s opening print.
The graded row
| Date | 2026-10-28 |
|---|---|
| Contract | QQQ 725 Call, exp 2026-10-28 |
| Target | 728.00 |
| QQQ range / close | 720.30 to 726.12 / 725.48 |
| Result | LOSS |
| Entry (opening print) | 2.78 |
| Peak (intraday high) | 3.29 |
| Expiration (value at expiry) | 0.48 |
| Max return | +18.3% |
| Expiry return | -82.7% |
| Shadow result | Stop-out 06:45 PT, exit 2.05, -26.3% |
Prices are per contract, in dollars. Entry is the grading basis under rule v1.1. The shadow result is the v1.2 shadow track grade for the same day, kept separate from the frozen grade and never combined with it. Retro means the shadow grade was computed when the shadow track was introduced in v1.2, from the intraday data then available.
The lesson
Two sessions of relief buying were treated as momentum strong enough to reach the target on a day whose main catalyst, the FOMC decision, sat inside the session. The post-decision spike peaked 1.88 points short of target.